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Inflation Hits 2.8%: Why Your Mortgage Rate Won’t Be Dropping Soon

Inflation Hits 2.8%: Why Your Mortgage Rate Won’t Be Dropping Soon

Canada’s inflation rate cooled to 2.8% in June 2026, marking a significant shift as core inflation metrics dipped below the Bank of Canada’s 2% target for the first time in six years. While this retreat offers a glimmer of hope for homeowners, experts warn it doesn’t signal an immediate rate cut. Economic volatility, particularly the collapsing truce in the US-Iran conflict, threatens to keep energy costs unpredictable. Furthermore, ‘sticky’ inflation persists in areas like groceries—up 3.9%—and travel, with Toronto’s World Cup-related accommodation costs surging 20%. With the Bank of Canada maintaining a steady 2.25% rate, industry experts like Leah Zlatkin suggest that borrowers should prepare for a prolonged period of rate stability rather than relief. For a deeper look at how these macroeconomic shifts are impacting the GTA mortgage landscape, read the full report at MPA Magazine.

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